原文:Ukraine has set Russia ablaze – and Putin’s humiliation is complete

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A year ago, it looked as though Donald Trump was set to force Ukraine into an ignominious surrender.

今天,乌克兰无人机向莫斯科和圣彼得堡开火,该国军队正在战场上取得进展,这对弗拉基米尔·普京来说是一个令人深感羞辱的景象。

俄罗斯总统的错误判断的战争现在公开地、一再地将俄罗斯的心脏地带置于危险之中,七国集团本周指出,在俄罗斯多年来缓慢而渐进的进展之后,基辅的“新势头”和“战场上的进展”。

乌克兰竟然敢希望俄罗斯输。 Kyrylo Budanov, chief of staff to Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelensky, said the prospect of a peace deal by winter was realistic.

兰德欧洲公司国防、安全和司法研究负责人雅各布·帕拉基拉斯表示:“乌克兰有能力袭击莫斯科和圣彼得堡……距离乌克兰领土数百英里,这是一个非常重要的迹象,表明俄罗斯已经失去了对战争势头的控制。”

Black smoke rises from the refinery in Moscow on 18 June after a drone strike (Photo: Sefa Karacan/Anadolu via Getty Images)

这场战争的特点是俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的势头摇摆不定,但帕拉基拉斯指出,“这次存在重大分歧,更多的是关于战略形势和俄罗斯国内局势”。

俄罗斯节节败退并陷入围困

The character of the war is shifting in favour of a rapidly innovating Ukraine, while Russia struggles to adapt. Russia’s theory that its meat-grinder tactics would overcome its vastly outnumbered foe in eastern Ukraine no longer holds.

Russian advances are stagnating as Kyiv employs new tactics and concepts to break out of attritional warfare.独立战场追踪组织报告称,俄罗斯的进展自 2023 年以来首次放缓或逆转。乌克兰最高军事委员会主席奥列克桑德·西尔斯基 (Oleksandr Syrski) ​

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